The Heart Protection Study and Other Developments in Atherosclerosis

Jorge Plutzky, MD

The environment at the American Heart Association 2001 Scientific Sessions was somewhat subdued following the attacks on the World Trade Center in New York 2 months prior. This somber mood was offset by some of the clinically exciting data presented during the scientific sessions -- information that will have a far-reaching influence on current thinking and practice as well as on future research regarding preventive cardiology and mechanisms of atherosclerosis.

The Heart Protection Study (HPS)

Perhaps the most striking clinical trial results announced at this year's AHA meeting came from the HPS, run by the British Medical Research Council (MRC) and the British Heart Foundation (BHF), and known as the MRC/BHF Heart Protection Study.[1] HPS will be seen as a landmark study, both for its immediate impact and for its future implications.

The anticipation and excitement regarding HPS stemmed in part from the questions it addressed, the treatment protocols employed, and from the sheer size of the cohort. In terms of current impact, the primary objectives of HPS address important and persistent issues regarding the use of statins and/or antioxidant vitamins in certain populations -- eg, those with average LDL cholesterol (LDL-C) levels and also those with diabetes. Its future impact will derive from the sheer size of this clinical trial - over 20,000 patients - and the opportunity to garner significant insights through subgroup analyses that will no doubt continue to emerge from this remarkable database.

HPS was designed to determine whether statins offer benefit to individuals with average-to-low LDL-C levels. The impact of therapy with an HMG-CoA reductase inhibitor (statin) was assessed in a large cohort of relatively low-risk patients with various prior disease histories for whom the benefit and safety of LDL-lowering remained unclear. Enrollment eligibility included patients with a history of coronary artery disease (CAD) and low-to-average total or LDL-C levels, persons at risk for CAD due to a history of other vascular disease (peripheral vascular disease or stroke); those who had a history of diabetes, and individuals who had been inadequately studied in the past (eg, patients > 70 years of age, females). Between July 1994 and April 1997, 20,536 individuals were assigned either to simvastatin (40 mg/day), vs placebo tablets, or to a cocktail of antioxidant vitamins (600 mg vitamin E, 250 mg vitamin C, and 20 mg beta-carotene) vs placebo capsules, for a mean duration of at least 5 years.

Prior to HPS, the suggestion was that a "J-shaped" curve exists for cholesterol levels and cardiovascular events/mortality - meaning that there exists an LDL-C level below which individuals actually have a worse prognosis, or at least do not have any further incremental benefit from LDL-lowering. The main counter-argument to the J-shape theory was that people with low total/LDL-C might have had some other concurrent illness, such as cancer, which accounted for their concomitant LDL-C level and adverse events and that therefore there is no "minimum" LDL-C level below which cholesterol-related events actually increase. A further hypothesis from post-hoc analyses of some early statin trials suggested that perhaps LDL-lowering was not linear, ie, that lower was not necessarily better as long as the LDL levels responded to some degree. HPS should also be able to resolve this question.

Beyond this important core issue, other unresolved issues were also taken on by the HPS dataset.

Is there statin benefit among people with diabetes, as suggested by other trials? Among the elderly? Among women?